The Vox Civitatis Electoral College Scenario

In brief, I see a much narrower Obama victory than most pollsters are projecting at the moment. Despite the seeming groundswell of support for Barack Obama, we are still a 50/50 country, with a decided center-right lean. Nonetheless, Virginia and Colorado may go Obama's way owing to his successful get-out-the-vote efforts in urban and suburban areas. This is Obama's hidden strength, and will be manifest by his overwhelming advertising and this is also where McCain's organizational weaknesses will show up. But for all the talk of Ohio and Florida turning, I'm not so sure at this point. Ohio has proven resistant to Obama's surge in other battleground states, and Central Florida's conservative core along with senior citizens will probably break for McCain come election day.

What do you think? I'll update this scenario as we move closer to the election. Let the games begin!