The Vox Civitatis Election Projection - Update

Here's my updated electoral college projection:



Again -- just based on a hunch. I see Obama expanding his map, and of the two "red" states I listed in my original map (not the best case scenario), I think Ohio and Nevada are the most likely to switch over. Why? Well, Ohio's polling shows strength for Obama, and reports about an outrageously good ground game and initial successes with early voting suggest he is more likely to win the state than McCain. Nevada may tip because of Obama's emerging strength with Hispanic voters. They have in essence left the GOP, although they supported Bush in significant numbers.

It's looking great for for the gentleman from Illinois. It's becoming increasingly difficult for McCain to change the game, but he sure is trying. I think McCain's redistribution/socialism canard and lingering doubts about preparedness, exacerbated by Biden's comment about Obama being "tested" within six months of assuming office, are having some effect in national polling. Still, I feel it's too little, too late. I'll update again on Friday afternoon.